trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 23 | +49.9% | +35.6% | 65% | 61% | +5.0% |
| ≤30d | 25 | +37.9% | +24.8% | 60% | 56% | +2.2% |
| ≤90d | 25 | +37.9% | +24.8% | 60% | 56% | +2.2% |
| all | 25 | +37.9% | +24.8% | 60% | 56% | +2.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +24.8% | 56% | +2.2% |
| 10% | +12.8% | 52% | -7.6% |
| 15% | +1.9% | 48% | -16.5% |
| 20% | -8.1% | 40% | -24.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 66¢ | 66¢ | $60 | $60 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 87¢ | 86¢ | $25 | $25 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $20 | +$15 | +76% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $40 | +$25 | +62% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $35 | +$10 | +29% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $26 | +$15 | +57% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $26 | −$25 | -98% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $16 | −$16 | -98% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $79 | +$17 | +22% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $20 | +$26 | +129% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $20 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $28 | +$2 | +7% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $63 | −$63 | -99% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$8 | +40% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $80 | +$46 | +57% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $54 | +$26 | +48% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $11 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $3 | +$8 | +250% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $43 | +$30 | +69% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $2 | +$10 | +477% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $22 | −$22 | -99% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $11 | +$10 | +90% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $11 | +$49 | +442% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $9 | −$9 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa? | Jun 11 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |