Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:08:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CE
0xcefd…fe98
other · 4 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$74 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$74 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$74
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses1 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$69
Trades / day9.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 0 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$74
7 days−$74
14 days−$74
30 days−$74
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $84 $0 −$84 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? Jun 13 $132 +$20 +15%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $7 −$4 -55%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $51 −$7 -13%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? Jun 13 $86 −$84 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$74
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 10¢ $3 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 9¢ $3 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 10¢ $45 1h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $45 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 19¢ $7 2h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $51 2h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? BUY Yes 6¢ $86 2h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? SELL Yes 11¢ $144 2h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 6¢ $84 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-37.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -31.1% -37.6% 25% 25% -45.1%
≤30d 4 -31.1% -37.6% 25% 25% -45.1%
≤90d 4 -31.1% -37.6% 25% 25% -45.1%
all 4 -31.1% -37.6% 25% 25% -45.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -37.6% 25% -45.1%
10% -43.6% 25% -50.3%
15% -49.0% 25% -55.1%
20% -54.0% 0% -59.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 9 history records