trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 80% | 80% | -23.2% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +26.0% | +14.0% | 83% | 83% | -1.0% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +9.9% | -0.6% | 75% | 75% | -2.1% |
| all | 25 | -11.7% | -20.1% | 64% | 52% | -27.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.1% | 52% | -27.5% |
| 10% | -27.7% | 32% | -34.5% |
| 15% | -34.7% | 16% | -40.8% |
| 20% | -41.1% | 12% | -46.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24? | No | 95¢ | 96¢ | $48 | $48 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 13¢ | 12¢ | $7 | $6 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $50 | +$7 | +14% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $43 | +$7 | +17% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $28 | +$14 | +49% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $72 | −$71 | -99% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $42 | +$7 | +18% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $39 | +$61 | +158% |
| Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this | May 15 | $14 | −$14 | -99% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14? | Apr 14 | $74 | +$17 | +23% |
| Alabama vs. Oklahoma | Dec 20 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Nov 02 | $56 | −$56 | -100% |
| Concacaf Gold Cup: Panama vs. Honduras (To Advance) | Jun 29 | $72 | −$72 | -100% |
| Rays vs. Orioles | Jun 28 | $64 | −$64 | -100% |
| Will Pachuca beat Al Hilal? | Jun 27 | $9 | +$2 | +24% |
| Will Real Madrid beat RB Salzburg? | Jun 27 | $41 | +$12 | +28% |
| Marlins vs. Giants | Jun 26 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Marlins vs. Giants | Jun 26 | $34 | +$6 | +18% |
| Dodgers vs. Rockies | Jun 26 | $32 | +$3 | +10% |
| Cubs vs. Cardinals | Jun 26 | $26 | +$2 | +8% |
| Will Al Ain beat Wydad AC? | Jun 26 | $112 | −$107 | -96% |
| Will Manchester City beat Juventus? | Jun 26 | $19 | +$1 | +5% |
| Dodgers vs. Rockies | Jun 26 | $27 | +$6 | +21% |
| Will Monterrey beat Urawa? | Jun 26 | $22 | +$17 | +75% |
| Will Canada beat El Salvador? | Jun 25 | $78 | +$22 | +28% |
| Pacers vs. Thunder | Jun 25 | $29 | −$29 | -100% |
| Will Guatemala beat Guadeloupe? | Jun 25 | $48 | +$52 | +108% |