Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:08:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CE
0xceeb…321b
crypto · 1622 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$115 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$115 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$115
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses899 / 723
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1622 / 1622
History coverage39d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day76.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1622 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17
7 days−$10
14 days−$26
30 days−$65
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +331%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +313%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$115
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-15.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 392 -2.7% -12.0% 54% 46% -11.9%
≤30d 1216 -4.9% -14.0% 55% 46% -14.2%
≤90d 1622 -6.2% -15.2% 55% 48% -15.6%
all 1622 -6.2% -15.2% 55% 48% -15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover76.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.2% 48% -15.6%
10% ← realistic here -23.3% 21% -23.7%
15% -30.7% 13% -31.1%
20% -37.5% 11% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records