Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:42:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CE
0xcee9…68fb
sports · 113 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$822 -34%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$796 · open −$26
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Net worth$1,371
Realized−$796
Unrealized−$26
Win rate (resolved)8%
Wins / losses2 / 22
Est. fees paid−$19
Open positions87
Markets (closed)24 / 113
History coverage71d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day1.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 87 History 24 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$34
7 days−$116
14 days−$308
30 days−$698
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $220 $219 −$0 (-0%)
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Yes 12¢ 13¢ $145 $158 +$12 (+8%)
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $100 $105 +$5 (+5%)
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $110 $99 −$11 (-10%)
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $70 $67 −$3 (-4%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 18¢ $40 $41 +$1 (+3%)
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? Yes $15 $15 −$0 (-2%)
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 28¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+6%)
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? Yes 17¢ 18¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 22¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? Yes 31¢ 31¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 46¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? Yes 34¢ 34¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 28¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 28¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 28¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $10 +$12 +114%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 +$27 +262%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-09? Jun 08 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Peru vs. Spain end in a draw? Jun 08 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $21 −$20 -97%
Will France vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw? Jun 08 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 06 $132 −$30 -23%
Will United States win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Honduras win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Peru win on 2026-06-08? Jun 06 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open? Jun 04 $196 −$192 -98%
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 30 $99 −$97 -97%
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $50 −$49 -98%
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-20? May 20 $51 −$50 -98%
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw? May 19 $100 −$97 -98%
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-15? May 15 $49 −$48 -98%
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-15? May 15 $51 −$50 -98%
Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-09? May 09 $49 −$48 -98%
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-05-09? May 09 $51 −$50 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 64% −$685
sports 36% −$137
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 0 Switzerland? BUY Yes $1 52m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $10 54m
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5) BUY Türkiye 14¢ $2 56m
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 59m
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 59m
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Morocco? BUY Yes $1 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes $1 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $10 19h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $49 19h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Paraguay win o BUY $1 19h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $2 24h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 24h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States BUY $2 27h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $64 27h
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $10 27h
Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw? BUY Yes 12¢ $10 27h
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $10 27h
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $10 27h
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $10 27h
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 27h
Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw? BUY Yes 17¢ $10 27h
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? BUY Yes 31¢ $10 27h
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $10 27h
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $10 27h
Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $10 27h
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $10 27h
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw? BUY Yes 31¢ $10 27h
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $10 27h
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $10 27h
Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw? BUY Yes 23¢ $10 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-78.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -61.6% -65.2% 13% 13% -69.6%
≤30d 22 -73.8% -76.3% 9% 9% -93.0%
≤90d 24 -76.0% -78.3% 8% 8% -93.8%
all 24 -76.0% -78.3% 8% 8% -93.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -78.3% 8% -93.8%
10% -80.4% 8% -94.4%
15% -82.2% 8% -94.9%
20% -84.0% 8% -95.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,370.82 · official $1,370.85 (match) · 195 history records