Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:57:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CE
0xcee6…0055
sports · 11 markets active 2h ago
1.0score
−$9 -23%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$3
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses5 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)7 / 11
History coverage3d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day4.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 4 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days−$3
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ivar Stenberg be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft? Yes 8¢ 6¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-28%)
Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy? Yes 70¢ 28¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-59%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Golden Knights 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Panna Udvardy 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +24%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Christopher O'Connell Jun 10 $3 $0 +3%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 81% −$7
other 19% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $2 1h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 81¢ $6 1h
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 85¢ $1 34h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth BUY Jiri Lehecka 76¢ $1 34h
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur BUY Panna Udvardy 67¢ $1 34h
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Christopher O'Connell SELL Christopher OConnell 55¢ $3 2d
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Christopher O'Connell BUY Christopher OConnell 52¢ $3 3d
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 3d
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 62¢ $5 3d
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? BUY Yes 80¢ $5 3d
Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy? BUY Yes 70¢ $5 3d
Will Ivar Stenberg be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft? BUY Yes 8¢ $5 3d
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights BUY Golden Knights 50¢ $5 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-22.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -13.8% -22.1% 71% 57% -21.4%
≤30d 7 -13.8% -22.1% 71% 57% -21.4%
≤90d 7 -13.8% -22.1% 71% 57% -21.4%
all 7 -13.8% -22.1% 71% 57% -21.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.1% 57% -21.4%
10% -29.5% 43% -29.0%
15% -36.3% 0% -35.8%
20% -42.6% 0% -42.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.61 · official $10.61 (match) · 16 history records