trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 8 | +1.9% | -7.8% | 88% | 0% | -7.8% |
| ≤90d | 19 | +3.9% | -6.0% | 89% | 11% | -8.7% |
| all | 19 | +3.9% | -6.0% | 89% | 11% | -8.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.0% | 11% | -8.7% |
| 10% | -15.0% | 11% | -17.4% |
| 15% | -23.2% | 0% | -25.4% |
| 20% | -30.7% | 0% | -32.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June | Jun 02 | $6 | $0 | +6% |
| Will BNB reach $1,000 in May? | Jun 01 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May? | Jun 01 | $8 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | May 31 | $14 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | May 31 | $8 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | May 27 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Kazuma Okamoto win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? | May 26 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | May 16 | $19 | $0 | +1% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | May 16 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026? | May 16 | $20 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? | May 14 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their | May 14 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch? | May 14 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | May 14 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30? | May 14 | $8 | +$2 | +24% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | May 14 | $16 | +$4 | +28% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | Apr 01 | $9,972 | +$52 | +0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Apr 01 | $10,191 | +$134 | +1% |