trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -49.9% | -54.7% | 50% | 0% | -71.6% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -41.3% | -46.9% | 40% | 20% | -66.1% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -2.4% | -11.7% | 64% | 36% | -27.1% |
| all | 36 | -22.0% | -29.4% | 50% | 31% | -36.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -29.4% | 31% | -36.2% |
| 10% | -36.2% | 31% | -42.3% |
| 15% | -42.3% | 31% | -47.8% |
| 20% | -48.0% | 31% | -53.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $90 | $90 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 26 | $90 | $0 | +0% |
| Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals | Jun 19 | $197 | −$197 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 | Jun 11 | $101 | +$95 | +93% |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | May 31 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-3.5) | May 31 | $370 | −$370 | -100% |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers | May 27 | $204 | +$176 | +86% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) | May 19 | $103 | +$99 | +97% |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 08 | $90 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Spurs (-8.5) | Apr 14 | $207 | −$207 | -100% |
| Blues vs. Sharks | Apr 06 | $106 | +$101 | +96% |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 30 | $101 | $0 | +0% |
| Canadiens vs. Red Wings | Mar 24 | $391 | −$391 | -100% |
| Spread: Pistons (-14.5) | Mar 19 | $203 | +$188 | +92% |
| Canadiens vs. Ducks | Mar 10 | $104 | +$99 | +96% |
| Jazz vs. Grizzlies | Feb 27 | $196 | −$196 | -100% |
| LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffs | Feb 20 | $96 | +$100 | +104% |
| Islanders vs. Devils | Feb 07 | $381 | −$381 | -100% |
| Penguins vs. Islanders | Feb 05 | $198 | +$183 | +92% |
| Heat vs. Bulls | Feb 03 | $102 | +$95 | +92% |
| Spread: Thunder (-6.5) | Jan 25 | $148 | −$148 | -100% |
| Sharks vs. Red Wings | Jan 19 | $95 | +$51 | +54% |
| Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5 | Jan 07 | $107 | −$107 | -100% |
| Texans vs. Chargers: O/U 39.5 | Jan 02 | $209 | −$209 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Spread: Broncos (-13.5) | Dec 27 | $108 | +$104 | +96% |
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) | Dec 19 | $98 | −$98 | -100% |
| Sabres vs. Flames | Dec 09 | $98 | −$98 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Celtics | Dec 03 | $36 | −$36 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on November 2 | Dec 02 | $39 | $0 | +1% |
| Packers vs. Lions: O/U 48.5 | Dec 02 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on November 2 | Nov 27 | $44 | +$1 | +2% |
| Stars vs. Oilers | Nov 27 | $56 | −$56 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 20 | Nov 20 | $4 | $0 | +6% |
| Texans vs. Titans: O/U 37.5 | Nov 18 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 202 | Nov 16 | $54 | $0 | +0% |
| Bulls vs. Pistons | Nov 14 | $43 | −$43 | -100% |