Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:51:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CE
0xce9d…3c05
sports · 1088 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$34,845 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$34,818 · open −$26
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$124
Realized−$34,818
Unrealized−$26
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses520 / 565
Whale WR (big bets)46%
Est. fees paid−$8,612
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1085 / 1088
History coverage42d
Avg bet$491
Trades / day68.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 1085 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,467
7 days−$12,931
14 days−$18,529
30 days−$29,056
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Sara Saito Yujia Huang 61¢ 48¢ $100 $77 −$23 (-23%)
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates Thailand 56¢ 52¢ $50 $46 −$4 (-7%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5 Under 51¢ 0¢ $175 $0 −$175 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $128 +$8 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $159 −$44 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$9 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $127 −$76 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $77 +$20 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $129 −$5 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +5%
ITF Wuning: Zongyu Li vs Mai Hontama Jun 13 $641 −$157 -24%
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Alan Magadan Jun 13 $304 +$78 +26%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $356 −$76 -21%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $253 +$145 +58%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $142 +$110 +78%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $152 −$7 -5%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $162 −$8 -5%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $304 −$304 -100%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet Jun 12 $406 −$406 -100%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz Jun 12 $608 +$223 +37%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $608 −$9 -2%
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang Jun 12 $1,516 −$217 -14%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marie Mettraux vs Anja Stankovic Jun 12 $425 −$252 -59%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $226 +$83 +37%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $102 −$102 -100%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5) Jun 12 $182 −$182 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1,660 −$344 -21%
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Thanapet Chanta Jun 12 $690 −$374 -54%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $336 −$336 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $112 +$135 +121%
Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5) Jun 12 $463 +$227 +49%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Yuno Kitahara Jun 12 $814 −$444 -54%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $495 +$322 +65%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $304 −$107 -35%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $1,115 +$596 +54%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $426 −$337 -79%
ITF Tokyo: Ikumi Yamazaki vs Nao Nishino Jun 12 $731 −$664 -91%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 12 $1,416 −$641 -45%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 11 $404 −$15 -4%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 11 $796 +$29 +4%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $284 +$208 +73%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 11 $31 +$6 +19%
Bratislava: Maxim Mrva vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Jun 11 $609 −$562 -92%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Alena Kovackova Jun 11 $404 +$172 +42%
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens Jun 11 $203 +$174 +86%
Lyon: Daniel Rincon vs Dali Blanch Jun 11 $607 +$409 +67%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 11 $447 −$55 -12%
ITF Tokyo: Shu Matsuoka vs Naoya Honda Jun 11 $1,519 +$723 +48%
ITF Maanshan: Evan Zhu vs Kokoro Isomura Jun 11 $728 −$709 -97%
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Ekaterina Maklakova Jun 11 $710 −$710 -100%
ITF Wuning: Kyoka Okamura vs Varvara Panshina Jun 11 $1,216 −$499 -41%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $101 −$101 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$33,470
other 0% −$1,266
crypto 0% −$95
world 0% −$20
tech 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 13m
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates BUY Thailand 56¢ $51 14m
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Sara Saito BUY Yujia Huang 61¢ $101 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $56 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $26 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $26 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $21 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $26 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $59 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $26 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $26 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $35 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $26 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $17 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $26 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $26 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $46 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $26 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $26 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $52 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $26 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $26 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $52 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $25 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $26 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 32m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 126 -19.4% -27.1% 37% 34% -25.4%
≤30d 699 -7.1% -16.0% 47% 46% -18.0%
≤90d 1085 -5.3% -14.3% 48% 47% -15.4%
all 1085 -5.3% -14.3% 48% 47% -15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover68.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.3% 47% -15.4%
10% ← realistic here -22.5% 46% -23.5%
15% -30.0% 44% -30.9%
20% -36.9% 37% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $123.67 · official $123.67 (match) · 3500 history records