trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +5.9% | -4.2% | 86% | 71% | +7.1% |
| ≤30d | 27 | +5.6% | -4.5% | 63% | 59% | -3.6% |
| ≤90d | 27 | +5.6% | -4.5% | 63% | 59% | -3.6% |
| all | 27 | +5.6% | -4.5% | 63% | 59% | -3.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.5% | 59% | -3.6% |
| 10% | -13.6% | 52% | -12.8% |
| 15% | -22.0% | 37% | -21.3% |
| 20% | -29.6% | 26% | -29.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | No | 62¢ | 70¢ | $425 | $478 | +$54 (+13%) |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29? | No | 90¢ | 90¢ | $143 | $142 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? | Jun 27 | $226 | +$122 | +54% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 24? | Jun 24 | $60 | +$10 | +17% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 23 | $54 | +$12 | +23% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? | Jun 23 | $80 | +$12 | +15% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $141 | +$4 | +3% |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $10 | +$3 | +30% |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score | Jun 18 | $20 | +$20 | +96% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $55 | −$43 | -78% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | Jun 18 | $10 | +$4 | +39% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | Jun 18 | $10 | +$8 | +78% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET | Jun 18 | $10 | +$7 | +64% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | Jun 18 | $10 | +$11 | +108% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | Jun 18 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | Jun 18 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | Jun 18 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | Jun 18 | $11 | +$33 | +311% |
| Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 18 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score in First Half | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $51 | +$15 | +30% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $51 | +$37 | +72% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $101 | −$59 | -59% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $47 | −$30 | -64% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $116 | +$31 | +27% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $225 | +$83 | +37% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$5 | +47% |