Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:59:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CE
0xce81…708f
crypto · 1818 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$944 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$940 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$940
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses1196 / 612
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1808 / 1818
History coverage18d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day117.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1808 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,230
7 days−$1,613
14 days−$1,322
30 days−$940
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? Yes 55¢ 52¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 52¢ 12¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-78%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,561
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $6 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $9 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $18 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +66%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 915 -14.0% -22.2% 55% 55% -31.6%
≤30d 1808 -2.9% -12.2% 66% 66% -15.8%
≤90d 1808 -2.9% -12.2% 66% 66% -15.8%
all 1808 -2.9% -12.2% 66% 66% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover117.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 66% -15.8%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 61% -23.9%
15% -28.2% 39% -31.3%
20% -35.3% 21% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.71 · official $7.84 · 3500 history records