Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:47:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CE
0xce80…08ed
sports · 113 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
−$5,225 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,235 · open +$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5,819
Realized−$5,235
Unrealized+$10
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses51 / 56
Whale WR (big bets)52%
Est. fees paid−$2,065
Open positions6
Markets (closed)107 / 113
History coverage70d
Avg bet$1,240
Trades / day2.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 6 History 107 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7,778
7 days+$12,429
14 days+$13,341
30 days−$8,308
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 63¢ 62¢ $1,977 $1,961 −$16 (-1%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Team Falcons 52¢ 69¢ $1,000 $1,327 +$327 (+33%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) MOUZ 54¢ 50¢ $981 $899 −$82 (-8%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 59¢ 26¢ $1,551 $697 −$854 (-55%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 0¢ 48¢ $0 $638 +$638 (+0%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $300 $297 −$3 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 55¢ 0¢ $246 $0 −$246 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 33¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner Team Falcons 41¢ 0¢ $6,094 $0 −$6,094 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner 3DMAX 53¢ 0¢ $570 $0 −$570 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 49¢ 0¢ $2,356 $0 −$2,356 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 20¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage TheMongolz 52¢ 0¢ $1,960 $0 −$1,960 (-100%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Vitality 52¢ 0¢ $2,828 $0 −$2,828 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $192 $0 −$192 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs Legacy 57¢ 0¢ $4,917 $0 −$4,917 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner 3DMAX 33¢ 0¢ $403 $0 −$403 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Heroic 39¢ 0¢ $427 $0 −$427 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs BIG 52¢ 0¢ $611 $0 −$611 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 GamerLegion 54¢ 0¢ $490 $0 −$490 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A BC.Game Esports 37¢ 0¢ $460 $0 −$460 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte - Map 4 Winner Heroic 55¢ 0¢ $472 $0 −$472 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 49¢ 0¢ $2,946 $0 −$2,946 (-100%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Golden Knights 50¢ 0¢ $575 $0 −$575 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A FUT Esports 46¢ 0¢ $2,450 $0 −$2,450 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $508 −$175 -34%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $510 +$1,082 +212%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $1,662 +$769 +46%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $916 +$1,205 +132%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,013 +$962 +95%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $9,978 +$6,858 +69%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $2,991 −$2,946 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,723 +$1,329 +77%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $4,057 −$4,000 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2,007 +$1,278 +64%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2,026 −$2,000 -99%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $607 +$393 +65%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1,019 −$1,000 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $2,545 +$1,326 +52%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1,443 +$845 +58%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,800 +$1,023 +57%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $255 −$250 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $1,705 +$1,087 +64%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $998 −$331 -33%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $1,175 +$500 +43%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $508 +$513 +101%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $506 +$363 +72%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $508 −$194 -38%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $205 −$200 -98%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 09 $584 −$575 -98%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $9,947 +$7,104 +71%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $1,993 −$1,961 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $994 −$978 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $485 +$5 +1%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $598 +$379 +63%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $497 −$490 -99%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $578 +$517 +89%
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs May 30 $206 −$202 -98%
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 2 Winner May 30 $1,518 +$1,114 +73%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner May 17 $6,202 −$6,094 -98%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner May 17 $2,392 −$2,356 -98%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 17 $5,090 −$5,000 -98%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs May 16 $4,981 −$4,917 -99%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) May 15 $2,869 −$2,828 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 15 $5,581 −$2,999 -54%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 15 $3,487 +$2,547 +73%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group S May 13 $1,989 −$1,960 -99%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A May 12 $994 −$980 -99%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner May 12 $505 −$500 -99%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A May 12 $469 −$460 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 12 $499 −$128 -26%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 - Map 2 Winner May 12 $1,016 +$1,076 +106%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group St May 12 $509 +$516 +101%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner May 12 $249 −$246 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% −$4,989
world 1% +$59
other 1% −$295
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 61¢ $809 0m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 30¢ $334 53m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 44¢ $508 59m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 63¢ $1,001 1h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY Team Falcons 52¢ $1,014 1h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $1,592 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Natus Vincere 99¢ $2,431 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 67¢ $1,662 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 99¢ $2,121 2h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 99¢ $1,975 2h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 31¢ $510 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 42¢ $916 3h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 50¢ $1,013 3h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 63¢ $998 7h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) BUY MOUZ 54¢ $995 7h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 59¢ $1,570 7h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $307 7h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 99¢ $16,836 17h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 58¢ $9,978 19h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 15¢ $8 19h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 49¢ $2,991 21h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $3,052 23h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 52¢ $1,522 23h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 56¢ $1,723 24h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $3,284 25h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 53¢ $1,014 27h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 56¢ $1,013 27h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 56¢ $489 27h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 53¢ $1,521 27h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 56¢ $1,013 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 +6.8% -3.4% 58% 55% +10.5%
≤30d 42 -7.8% -16.6% 50% 48% -18.3%
≤90d 107 -7.4% -16.2% 48% 45% -13.2%
all 107 -7.4% -16.2% 48% 45% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.2% 45% -13.2%
10% -24.2% 44% -21.5%
15% -31.5% 44% -29.1%
20% -38.3% 40% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,819.13 · official $5,819.33 (match) · 221 history records