trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 54¢ | 24¢ | $340 | $154 | −$186 (-55%) |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox | Los Angeles Dodgers | 62¢ | 62¢ | $150 | $149 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles | Seattle Mariners | 51¢ | 0¢ | $205 | $0 | −$205 (-100%) |
| Maple Leafs vs. Ducks | Ducks | 76¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Philadelphia Phillies | 48¢ | 0¢ | $564 | $0 | −$564 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Jun 12 | $97 | −$3 | -3% |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics | Jun 12 | $111 | −$4 | -4% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 | Jun 12 | $97 | −$20 | -21% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5 | Jun 12 | $107 | −$99 | -92% |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 | Jun 12 | $107 | +$66 | +62% |
| Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals | Jun 11 | $99 | −$76 | -76% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 | Jun 11 | $97 | +$71 | +73% |
| Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels | Jun 11 | $101 | +$85 | +84% |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Jun 11 | $101 | +$77 | +76% |
| Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 | Jun 11 | $239 | −$163 | -68% |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 | Jun 11 | $97 | +$95 | +97% |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres | Jun 10 | $294 | −$145 | -49% |
| New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 | Jun 10 | $101 | +$91 | +90% |
| Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 | Jun 10 | $98 | −$47 | -48% |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles | Jun 10 | $208 | −$205 | -99% |
| New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 | Jun 10 | $102 | +$126 | +124% |
| Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 | Jun 10 | $230 | +$29 | +12% |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics | Jun 10 | $487 | −$386 | -79% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5 | Jun 10 | $619 | +$511 | +83% |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Jun 10 | $887 | −$606 | -68% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins | Jun 09 | $1,375 | −$75 | -5% |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres | Jun 09 | $404 | +$309 | +77% |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 | Jun 09 | $1,040 | +$66 | +6% |
| New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 | Jun 09 | $211 | +$250 | +119% |
| New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 | Jun 09 | $486 | +$171 | +35% |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 | Jun 08 | $340 | +$304 | +90% |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins | Jun 07 | $187 | +$161 | +86% |
| New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres | Jun 07 | $77 | +$83 | +107% |
| New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 | Jun 07 | $18 | +$16 | +88% |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 | Jun 07 | $19 | −$1 | -5% |
| Maple Leafs vs. Ducks | Mar 31 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 30 | +21.9% | +10.3% | 57% | 53% | -1.5% |
| ≤30d | 30 | +21.9% | +10.3% | 57% | 53% | -1.5% |
| ≤90d | 31 | +17.9% | +6.7% | 55% | 52% | -1.6% |
| all | 31 | +17.9% | +6.7% | 55% | 52% | -1.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +6.7% | 52% | -1.6% |
| 10% | -3.5% | 48% | -11.0% |
| 15% | -12.8% | 45% | -19.6% |
| 20% | -21.4% | 45% | -27.5% |