| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? |
Jun 20 |
$56 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? |
Jun 19 |
$35 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? |
Jun 19 |
$36 |
$0 |
-1% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? |
Jun 18 |
$37 |
$0 |
+0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? |
Jun 17 |
$3 |
$0 |
+12% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? |
May 27 |
$32 |
+$1 |
+4% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab |
May 26 |
$32 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? |
May 26 |
$7 |
−$2 |
-21% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? |
May 26 |
$78 |
−$3 |
-4% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? |
May 25 |
$4 |
$0 |
-4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? |
May 24 |
$37 |
$0 |
-0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? |
May 24 |
$9 |
−$1 |
-11% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? |
May 23 |
$37 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
May 22 |
$21 |
−$1 |
-3% |
| Will Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair in 2025? |
Aug 21 |
$5 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? |
Aug 20 |
$49 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? |
Aug 20 |
$5 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? |
Aug 20 |
$50 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? |
Aug 20 |
$5 |
$0 |
-2% |
| Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherla |
Aug 20 |
$5 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League? |
Aug 19 |
$5 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? |
Aug 19 |
$5 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? |
Aug 19 |
$12 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? |
Aug 18 |
$100 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Aug 18 |
$50 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia in 2025? |
Aug 18 |
$5 |
$0 |
-1% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% in 2025? |
Aug 18 |
$46 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025? |
Aug 18 |
$10 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey in 2025? |
Aug 18 |
$4 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Trump x Zelenskyy meet on Monday? |
Aug 18 |
$48 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31? |
Aug 17 |
$3 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest? |
Aug 17 |
$7 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? |
Aug 17 |
$48 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Elon tweet 450–474 times August 15–August 22? |
Aug 17 |
$7 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? |
Aug 17 |
$6 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Zhipu AI have a #1 AI model this year? |
Aug 17 |
$7 |
$0 |
+1% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15? |
Aug 17 |
$1 |
$0 |
-8% |
| Will Bertie Ahern win the Irish Presidential Election? |
Aug 16 |
$7 |
$0 |
-1% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Aug 16 |
$6 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026? |
Aug 15 |
$2 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31? |
Aug 15 |
$5 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Aug 15 |
$50 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? |
Aug 15 |
$5 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? |
Aug 14 |
$50 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Trump meet with Putin in Alaska on August 15? |
Aug 14 |
$5 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win the 2025–26 Champions League? |
Aug 14 |
$5 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will Jarlath Burns win the Irish Presidential Election? |
Aug 14 |
$48 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Solana dip to $100 in August? |
Aug 14 |
$1 |
+$1 |
+71% |
| Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 202 |
Aug 13 |
$5 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025? |
Aug 13 |
$45 |
$0 |
+0% |