Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CE
0xce40…da67
other · 126 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$15,381 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$15,381 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$15,381
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses45 / 81
Whale WR (big bets)53%
Est. fees paid−$63
Open positions0
Markets (closed)126 / 126
History coverage136d
Avg bet$990
Trades / day24.4
Drawdown41%
Kalshi-fit6%
Chart Positions 0 History 126 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$513
7 days−$1,830
14 days−$25
30 days+$4,223
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $431 +$513 +119%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $187 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 09 $1,630 −$1,630 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026? Jun 07 $499 −$499 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? Jun 07 $329 −$107 -33%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? Jun 07 $107 −$107 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $187 +$3 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $1,789 +$773 +43%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $1,867 +$932 +50%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? Jun 01 $1,847 +$221 +12%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 30 $493 +$100 +20%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 30 $224 −$224 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 29 $342 +$203 +59%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 27 $11,436 +$676 +6%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 26 $942 −$939 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? May 25 $450 −$402 -89%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 22 $1,256 −$362 -29%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 22 $996 +$776 +78%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? May 20 $972 −$769 -79%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? May 15 $162 −$162 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? May 15 $669 +$5,589 +836%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? May 15 $263 −$68 -26%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026? May 15 $189 −$189 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? May 15 $42 −$32 -76%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? May 15 $80 −$70 -88%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? May 15 $27 −$1 -5%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? May 13 $1,271 −$423 -33%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026? May 13 $220 −$220 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026? May 13 $246 +$306 +124%
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score May 11 $410 −$410 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026? May 11 $1,380 −$957 -69%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $590 +$300 +51%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026? May 09 $77 +$58 +75%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? May 07 $270 −$270 -100%
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? May 07 $155 −$155 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? May 07 $350 −$350 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? May 07 $1,562 +$494 +32%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? May 05 $613 +$2,413 +394%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? May 05 $69 −$69 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026? May 05 $101 −$84 -83%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? May 05 $140 −$140 -100%
Lakers vs. Rockets May 05 $930 −$930 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? May 01 $273 −$139 -51%
Cavaliers vs. Raptors Apr 27 $280 −$280 -100%
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers Apr 27 $434 +$236 +54%
Pistons vs. Magic Apr 26 $555 −$555 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026? Apr 25 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026? Apr 25 $91 −$91 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026? Apr 25 $550 +$2,450 +446%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? Apr 24 $691 +$1,689 +244%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 98% +$17,800
sports 2% −$2,094
crypto 0% −$325
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 15¢ $7 25m
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 16¢ $443 25m
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 20¢ $1 26m
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 20¢ $9 26m
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 30¢ $292 47m
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 30¢ $1 47m
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 29¢ $2 47m
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 20¢ $67 50m
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 20¢ $3 51m
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 20¢ $2 51m
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 20¢ $5 51m
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 20¢ $24 51m
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 18¢ $54 52m
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 14¢ $14 53m
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 14¢ $14 53m
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 55m
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 17¢ $6 57m
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 14¢ $4 1h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 13¢ $112 1h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 1h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $54 1h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 1h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $10 1h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 7¢ $123 1h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 7¢ $21 1h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 9¢ $7 1h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 9¢ $4 1h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 9¢ $13 1h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 9¢ $2 1h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 9¢ $36 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -35.6% -41.7% 17% 17% -61.6%
≤30d 26 +3.9% -6.0% 38% 31% +4.4%
≤90d 83 +4.7% -5.3% 35% 31% +0.6%
all 126 -2.1% -11.4% 36% 31% +1.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.4 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 31% +1.6%
10% -19.9% 25% -8.1%
15% ← realistic here -27.6% 23% -17.0%
20% -34.7% 21% -25.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records