trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 100% | 0% | -8.8% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 30% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 30% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 26 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 62% | 4% | -9.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.3% | 4% | -9.3% |
| 10% | -18.0% | 4% | -18.0% |
| 15% | -25.9% | 0% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 0% | -33.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 23 | $33 | $0 | +1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $109 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 03 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 03 | $33 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 02 | $40 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 02 | $66 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 02 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 29 | $73 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 29 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | May 28 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025? | Dec 23 | $2 | $0 | +25% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July? | Dec 15 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? | Dec 15 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 20 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | May 09 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days? | May 05 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 06 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will federal spending decrease by more than $2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 | Apr 05 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election? | Apr 04 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| TikTok sale announced before April? | Apr 03 | $14 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 21-28? | Mar 28 | $13 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will a #1 seed lose in the first round of NCAA Tournament? | Mar 23 | $12 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 19 | $2 | −$1 | -43% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Mar 19 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| India wins the most gold medals in 2025 Special Olympics? | Mar 17 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will egg prices be between $5.25 and $5.50 in February? | Mar 13 | $11 | $0 | +1% |