trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | +22.7% | +11.0% | 60% | 60% | -0.2% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +22.7% | +11.0% | 60% | 60% | -0.2% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +22.7% | +11.0% | 60% | 60% | -0.2% |
| all | 25 | +14.0% | +3.1% | 56% | 48% | -3.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +3.1% | 48% | -3.7% |
| 10% | -6.7% | 40% | -12.9% |
| 15% | -15.7% | 36% | -21.3% |
| 20% | -24.0% | 28% | -29.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $176 | $175 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $104 | +$75 | +72% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Algeria? | Jun 17 | $33 | −$33 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria? | Jun 17 | $63 | +$41 | +66% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $24 | +$8 | +34% |
| Exact Score: Sweden 2 - 1 Tunisia? | Jun 15 | $54 | −$54 | -100% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $38 | +$16 | +42% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $4 | +$10 | +242% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $6 | +$8 | +146% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $12 | +$14 | +110% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $14 | −$2 | -11% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $21 | +$3 | +13% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $17 | +$19 | +109% |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | Jun 12 | $17 | −$14 | -83% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 7? | Feb 09 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February? | Feb 06 | $27 | +$3 | +10% |
| Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | Feb 06 | $1,066 | +$10 | +1% |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Feb 06 | $883 | −$33 | -4% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? | Feb 06 | $845 | −$48 | -6% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January? | Jan 29 | $399 | +$226 | +56% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 29? | Jan 29 | $433 | −$16 | -4% |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | Jan 29 | $499 | −$41 | -8% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 28 | Jan 28 | $793 | +$146 | +18% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 22? | Jan 22 | $223 | +$101 | +45% |