Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:13:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CE
0xce25…7fdc
crypto · 154 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,036 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,394 · open −$358
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$1,793
Realized+$1,394
Unrealized−$358
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses101 / 73
Whale WR (big bets)53%
Open positions4
Markets (closed)174 / 154
Avg bet$250
Trades / day3350.0
Drawdown42%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 174 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,394
7 days+$1,394
14 days+$1,394
30 days+$1,394
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 82¢ 92¢ $1,096 $1,229 +$133 (+12%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 63¢ 70¢ $201 $224 +$22 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 23¢ 8¢ $369 $137 −$232 (-63%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 56¢ 30¢ $190 $100 −$91 (-48%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 66¢ 72¢ $49 $53 +$4 (+9%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 53¢ 28¢ $74 $39 −$36 (-48%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 58¢ 74¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+27%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 64¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+56%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 60¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+67%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 15¢ 26¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+77%)
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 68¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+47%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 82¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+22%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 95¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 91¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+10%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 88¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+14%)
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 86¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+16%)
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+92%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 82¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+22%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 79¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+27%)
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 61¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+64%)
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 70¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+43%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 87¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+15%)
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +56%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +67%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +47%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +92%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +27%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +64%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +15%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$22 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $106 +$66 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $457 +$40 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$11 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $328 −$27 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $129 −$25 -19%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $104 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $132 −$27 -20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$14 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $310 +$21 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $84 +$2 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $44 +$7 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $379 +$42 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $79 +$7 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $179 +$51 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $526 −$22 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $105 +$5 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$2 -10%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1,039 +$19 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$4 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $466 −$43 -9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $164 −$10 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,035
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $13 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $11 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $14 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $18 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $15 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $9 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $54 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $28 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $18 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $19 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $27 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $57 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $20 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $5 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $15 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $3 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $9 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $7 0m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)+6.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 174 +17.2% +6.0% 58% 33% -6.1%
≤30d 174 +17.2% +6.0% 58% 33% -6.1%
≤90d 174 +17.2% +6.0% 58% 33% -6.1%
all 174 +17.2% +6.0% 58% 33% -6.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3350.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +6.0% 33% -6.1%
10% ← realistic here -4.1% 22% -15.1%
15% -13.4% 16% -23.3%
20% -21.9% 10% -30.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,793.38 · official $1,763.56 · 3500 history records