Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:06:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CE
0xce24…85cd
crypto · 961 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,606 -38%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$627 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized−$627
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses481 / 477
Open positions3
Markets (closed)958 / 961
History coverage41d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day42.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 3 History 958 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$88
7 days−$374
14 days−$367
30 days−$652
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET Down 48¢ 50¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Down 48¢ 44¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-8%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Down 54¢ 14¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-75%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +104%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +101%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +85%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +108%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +105%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +89%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +94%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +108%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +85%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +89%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +90%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $101 −$101 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +85%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +85%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $102 −$102 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +104%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +113%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $51 −$51 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 84% −$424
other 16% −$207
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 11m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 294 -9.3% -17.9% 47% 47% -25.4%
≤30d 838 -4.7% -13.8% 49% 49% -18.8%
≤90d 958 -3.3% -12.5% 50% 50% -17.8%
all 958 -3.3% -12.5% 50% 50% -17.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover42.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.5% 50% -17.8%
10% ← realistic here -20.9% 50% -25.6%
15% -28.5% 50% -32.8%
20% -35.5% 50% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.25 · official $20.25 (match) · 3500 history records