trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 20% | 0% | -11.4% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 40% | 13% | -10.1% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 40% | 13% | -10.1% |
| all | 25 | +3.4% | -6.5% | 48% | 12% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.5% | 12% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -15.4% | 4% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -23.6% | 4% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -31.1% | 4% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 19 | $74 | −$5 | -7% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 18 | $33 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 17 | $38 | $0 | -1% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 07 | $63 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 07 | $45 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 06 | $7 | $0 | -1% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 05 | $4 | $0 | -5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $47 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | May 31 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | May 31 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 29 | $9 | +$1 | +14% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 29 | $38 | −$1 | -2% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 28 | $2 | $0 | +12% |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 16 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Meta buy TikTok? | Dec 10 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Andrey Rublev win the 2025 French Open? | Jun 03 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 07 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Kentucky win the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Mar 30 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Mar 14 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 13 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump say 'Canada' during the 2025 State of the Union? | Mar 04 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 57°F or higher on March 4? | Mar 04 | $14 | −$4 | -29% |
| Stonehill vs. Wagner | Mar 03 | $7 | +$7 | +100% |