Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:30:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CE
0xce1f…72c8
crypto · 1494 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$974 +62%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$970 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized+$970
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses200 / 501
Open positions1
Markets (closed)701 / 1494
History coverage10d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day143.4
Drawdown2%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 701 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$184
7 days+$644
14 days+$970
30 days+$970
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 3¢ 18¢ $1 $6 +$5 (+483%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$7 +625%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$6 +574%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +398%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$10 +945%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$7 +685%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$7 +625%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$6 +529%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$10 +945%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$24 +2243%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$6 +529%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$6 +520%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$974
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)+74.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 370 +95.9% +77.2% 22% 22% +85.3%
≤30d 701 +92.9% +74.5% 29% 29% +81.7%
≤90d 701 +92.9% +74.5% 29% 29% +81.7%
all 701 +92.9% +74.5% 29% 29% +81.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover143.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +74.5% 29% +81.7%
10% ← realistic here +57.8% 29% +64.3%
15% +42.6% 29% +48.5%
20% +28.6% 29% +33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.83 · official $10.50 · 1696 history records