Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:26:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CE
0xce1c…a90a
sports · 11 markets active 2h ago
7.0score
+$398 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$398 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized+$398
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses7 / 4
Est. fees paid−$55
Open positions0
Markets (closed)11 / 11
History coverage10d
Avg bet$289
Trades / day5.1
Drawdown49%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 11 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$145
7 days+$10
14 days+$398
30 days+$398
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Maja Chwalinska 19¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 12 $201 −$14 -7%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $611 +$121 +20%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $305 +$39 +13%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $403 +$65 +16%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $144 −$140 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 05 $192 −$50 -26%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 05 $146 +$44 +30%
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 04 $285 +$218 +76%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 03 $576 +$35 +6%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 02 $302 +$91 +30%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$398
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro SELL Sho Shimabukuro 54¢ $187 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter SELL Katie Boulter 99¢ $496 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 48¢ $0 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 48¢ $8 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 48¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 48¢ $8 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 48¢ $2 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 45¢ $51 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 43¢ $150 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter SELL Elena Rybakina 51¢ $236 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $23 2h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $367 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 54¢ $51 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 58¢ $62 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 58¢ $17 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 58¢ $55 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 58¢ $6 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 56¢ $10 2h
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi SELL Ugo Humbert 56¢ $166 35h
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi BUY Ugo Humbert 50¢ $152 35h
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi SELL Benjamin Bonzi 67¢ $178 35h
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi BUY Benjamin Bonzi 56¢ $152 35h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann SELL Mattia Bellucci 89¢ $66 2d
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann SELL Mattia Bellucci 87¢ $257 2d
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann SELL Mattia Bellucci 87¢ $44 2d
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann SELL Mattia Bellucci 87¢ $4 2d
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann SELL Mattia Bellucci 87¢ $4 2d
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann SELL Mattia Bellucci 87¢ $39 2d
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann SELL Mattia Bellucci 87¢ $4 2d
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann SELL Mattia Bellucci 48¢ $49 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -26.4% -33.4% 43% 43% -9.0%
≤30d 11 -3.8% -13.0% 64% 55% +1.8%
≤90d 11 -3.8% -13.0% 64% 55% +1.8%
all 11 -3.8% -13.0% 64% 55% +1.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.0% 55% +1.8%
10% -21.3% 27% -7.9%
15% -28.9% 9% -16.8%
20% -35.9% 9% -25.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 53 history records