Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:53:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CE
0xce17…7bed
crypto · 1310 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3,367 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,367 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,367
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses1097 / 376
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1473 / 1310
History coverage26d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day86.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1473 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,071
7 days−$3,105
14 days−$3,288
30 days−$3,367
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - February 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $91 $0 −$91 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $84 $0 −$84 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - February 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $91 −$91 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $75 −$75 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$19 -81%
Solana Up or Down - February 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 22, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$273
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $6 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $17 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 19¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $19 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $6 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-21.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 685 -26.4% -33.4% 61% 25% -48.2%
≤30d 1473 -13.6% -21.9% 74% 24% -17.5%
≤90d 1473 -13.6% -21.9% 74% 24% -17.5%
all 1473 -13.6% -21.9% 74% 24% -17.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover86.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.9% 24% -17.5%
10% ← realistic here -29.3% 12% -25.4%
15% -36.2% 7% -32.6%
20% -42.4% 4% -39.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records