trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -29.1% | -35.9% | 0% | 0% | -31.8% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -29.1% | -35.9% | 0% | 0% | -31.8% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -29.1% | -35.9% | 0% | 0% | -31.8% |
| all | 3 | -29.1% | -35.9% | 0% | 0% | -31.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -35.9% | 0% | -31.8% |
| 10% | -42.0% | 0% | -38.3% |
| 15% | -47.6% | 0% | -44.3% |
| 20% | -52.8% | 0% | -49.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $1,054 | $1,012 | −$42 (-4%) |
| Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $193 | $97 | −$97 (-50%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $723 | −$33 | -5% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $1,711 | −$539 | -32% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $100 | −$51 | -51% |