Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:44:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CD
0xcdf6…c35e
crypto · 480 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$209 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$207 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$65
Realized−$207
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses205 / 280
Open positions1
Markets (closed)485 / 480
History coverage2d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day1781.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 485 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$207
7 days−$207
14 days−$207
30 days−$207
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 53¢ 58¢ $34 $38 +$3 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 45¢ 42¢ $30 $27 −$2 (-8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $125 −$125 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $22 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $54 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $31 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $65 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $33 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $33 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $32 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $66 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $43 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $54 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $54 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $63 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $65 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $42 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $65 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $32 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $22 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $64 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $44 +$10 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$64
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $6 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $4 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $6 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $6 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $6 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 29m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 485 +0.9% -8.7% 42% 10% -10.7%
≤30d 485 +0.9% -8.7% 42% 10% -10.7%
≤90d 485 +0.9% -8.7% 42% 10% -10.7%
all 485 +0.9% -8.7% 42% 10% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1781.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.7% 10% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -17.5% 5% -19.2%
15% -25.4% 2% -27.0%
20% -32.7% 2% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $65.00 · official $65.01 (match) · 3500 history records