Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:05:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CD
0xcdeb…1eb1
crypto · 1053 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$712 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$700 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$68
Realized−$700
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses458 / 586
Est. fees paid−$39
Open positions9
Markets (closed)1044 / 1053
History coverage63d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day34.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 9 History 1044 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$44
7 days−$16
14 days−$59
30 days−$132
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 69¢ 100¢ $25 $36 +$11 (+45%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Ilia Topuria 81¢ 80¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 77¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+30%)
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No 41¢ 40¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes 71¢ 42¢ $8 $5 −$3 (-42%)
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 8¢ 6¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-34%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Spirit 63¢ 18¢ $5 $1 −$3 (-71%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes 5¢ 1¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-75%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Team Falcons 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $30 −$19 -65%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $30 −$19 -63%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $25 +$8 +32%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $25 −$3 -11%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $35 +$30 +86%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5) Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $10 +$3 +34%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $20 −$4 -19%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $15 $0 -1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) Jun 11 $10 +$12 +114%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $15 +$27 +180%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5) Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 10 $5 $0 -5%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $25 +$12 +46%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5) Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $10 +$4 +36%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $15 +$17 +109%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $10 +$8 +80%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $25 +$4 +17%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $5 +$1 +29%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $5 +$2 +50%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12PM ET Jun 08 $20 +$8 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8AM ET Jun 08 $15 −$13 -86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11AM ET Jun 08 $10 −$2 -16%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $10 +$11 +105%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $5 +$3 +67%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $15 −$1 -7%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros Jun 07 $5 +$1 +29%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $5 +$5 +90%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $5 +$2 +48%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $10 +$11 +105%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $47 −$10 -22%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 06 $5 +$4 +83%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $5 +$1 +12%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $10 +$2 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11AM ET Jun 05 $20 −$2 -10%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $15 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7AM ET Jun 05 $17 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3AM ET Jun 05 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6AM ET Jun 05 $10 $0 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 68% −$525
sports 22% −$139
world 4% −$13
other 4% −$28
finance 1% −$5
politics 0% −$1
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 63¢ $5 54m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 77¢ $5 1h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY Team Falcons 56¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Team Falcons 70¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $5 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 27¢ $5 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 74¢ $5 6h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 47¢ $5 6h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 44¢ $5 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 67¢ $5 8h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 53¢ $5 8h
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) BUY B8 43¢ $5 8h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 18¢ $10 8h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $10 9h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $5 9h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $5 9h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $5 9h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 69¢ $25 10h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 53¢ $25 11h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 56¢ $25 12h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 41¢ $25 16h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 44¢ $10 25h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 42¢ $5 25h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5) BUY Team Falcons 36¢ $10 27h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 64¢ $20 27h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 74¢ $10 28h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 61¢ $10 28h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY FUT Esports 45¢ $5 29h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY FUT Esports 45¢ $5 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-20.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 -4.2% -13.3% 49% 49% -11.9%
≤30d 151 -6.7% -15.6% 52% 48% -15.8%
≤90d 1044 -12.1% -20.5% 44% 37% -17.7%
all 1044 -12.1% -20.5% 44% 37% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.5% 37% -17.7%
10% ← realistic here -28.1% 31% -25.5%
15% -35.0% 25% -32.7%
20% -41.4% 18% -39.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $67.68 · official $67.68 (match) · 2965 history records