Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:25:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CD
0xcdbf…91dc
crypto · 186 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$41 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$41 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$41
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses92 / 94
Open positions0
Markets (closed)186 / 186
History coverage14d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day64.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 186 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$17
14 days−$41
30 days−$41
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 4? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$6 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -74%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$51
other 1% +$9
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 45m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-24.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 109 -10.4% -18.9% 56% 28% -12.6%
≤30d 186 -16.1% -24.1% 49% 27% -15.9%
≤90d 186 -16.1% -24.1% 49% 27% -15.9%
all 186 -16.1% -24.1% 49% 27% -15.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover64.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.1% 27% -15.9%
10% ← realistic here -31.4% 16% -23.9%
15% -38.0% 5% -31.3%
20% -44.1% 2% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 902 history records