Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:13:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CD
0xcdb6…6fe2
crypto · 130 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$233 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$188 · open −$45
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$849
Realized−$188
Unrealized−$45
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses30 / 92
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions8
Markets (closed)122 / 130
History coverage4d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day57.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 8 History 122 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$144
7 days−$188
14 days−$188
30 days−$188
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $550 $534 −$16 (-3%)
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $155 $145 −$10 (-7%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $58 $56 −$2 (-4%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $47 $45 −$2 (-3%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-2%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 0 Switzerland? Yes 7¢ 5¢ $29 $21 −$8 (-28%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? Yes 9¢ 7¢ $20 $16 −$4 (-22%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland? Yes 4¢ 3¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-24%)
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings? No 14¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -95%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $39 +$232 +596%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $28 −$27 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $48 −$47 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $58 −$56 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $36 −$35 -98%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $21 −$20 -97%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 South Africa? Jun 11 $21 −$20 -97%
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 South Africa? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $82 −$80 -98%
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $58 −$56 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 10 $16 −$3 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $27 +$51 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 10 $26 +$83 +315%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 10 $32 +$57 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $26 −$25 -95%
Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 10 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $26 +$26 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $16 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $37 +$35 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $37 +$80 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $26 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $47 +$43 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 10 $37 −$35 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 10 $28 −$27 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $35 +$6 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $58 −$15 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 10 $16 +$22 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $37 −$35 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 10 $21 +$37 +175%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 10 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $27 −$6 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 10 $21 +$16 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $26 +$84 +318%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 10 $247 +$362 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $27 −$25 -94%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 09 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 09 $16 +$19 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 09 $16 +$33 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 09 $21 +$76 +361%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $21 +$56 +268%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 09 $67 −$65 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 56% +$343
other 37% −$379
sports 3% −$67
tech 3% −$100
finance 1% −$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY Yes 15¢ $48 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 0 Switzerland? BUY Yes 7¢ $30 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? BUY Yes 9¢ $21 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland? BUY Yes 4¢ $10 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $59 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $16 1h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 4¢ $10 13h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 14¢ $8 13h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 3¢ $6 13h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 9¢ $7 13h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $6 13h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 9¢ $15 16h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 4¢ $22 16h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 10¢ $18 16h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 14¢ $31 16h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 16¢ $36 16h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 8¢ $26 16h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 10¢ $33 16h
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? BUY Yes 10¢ $21 30h
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 South Africa? BUY Yes 3¢ $21 30h
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 South Africa? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 30h
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? BUY Yes 19¢ $82 30h
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 South Africa? BUY Yes 5¢ $58 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 12¢ $13 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $16 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $78 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $27 2d
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $566 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $110 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-26.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 122 -18.9% -26.6% 25% 24% -15.4%
≤30d 122 -18.9% -26.6% 25% 24% -15.4%
≤90d 122 -18.9% -26.6% 25% 24% -15.4%
all 122 -18.9% -26.6% 25% 24% -15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover57.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.6% 24% -15.4%
10% ← realistic here -33.6% 23% -23.5%
15% -40.0% 22% -30.9%
20% -45.9% 22% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $849.02 · official $849.02 (match) · 292 history records