trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +29.2% | +16.9% | 71% | 71% | +0.8% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +6.2% | -3.9% | 60% | 60% | -7.5% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +6.2% | -3.9% | 60% | 60% | -7.5% |
| all | 24 | -37.5% | -43.4% | 33% | 33% | -34.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -43.4% | 33% | -34.2% |
| 10% | -48.9% | 29% | -40.5% |
| 15% | -53.8% | 29% | -46.2% |
| 20% | -58.3% | 21% | -51.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 61¢ | 66¢ | $33 | $35 | +$2 (+7%) |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-97%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $50 | −$17 | -34% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $36 | +$14 | +40% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $31 | +$5 | +16% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $13 | +$18 | +134% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $9 | +$4 | +46% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $21 | −$12 | -59% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $13 | +$8 | +62% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $8 | +$5 | +57% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major St | Jun 02 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Counter-Strike: NRG vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B | Feb 02 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A | Jan 31 | $52 | −$52 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In | Jan 30 | $155 | −$155 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series | Jan 30 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In | Jan 30 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In | Jan 29 | $129 | +$158 | +123% |
| Counter-Strike: NIP vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In | Jan 29 | $76 | +$53 | +69% |
| Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In | Jan 29 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9INE (BO3) | Jan 16 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Jan 15 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5) | Dec 14 | $90 | −$9 | -10% |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3) | Dec 13 | $23 | −$3 | -13% |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3) | Dec 13 | $49 | −$49 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) | Dec 12 | $27 | −$2 | -8% |