trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | +104.0% | +84.5% | 25% | 25% | +32.6% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +104.0% | +84.5% | 25% | 25% | +32.6% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +104.0% | +84.5% | 25% | 25% | +32.6% |
| all | 12 | +104.0% | +84.5% | 25% | 25% | +32.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +84.5% | 25% | +32.6% |
| 10% | +66.9% | 25% | +19.9% |
| 15% | +50.8% | 25% | +8.3% |
| 20% | +36.0% | 25% | -2.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $126 | $113 | −$13 (-10%) |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Yes | 21¢ | 20¢ | $116 | $107 | −$8 (-7%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $94 | −$92 | -98% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $122 | +$578 | +474% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $106 | −$104 | -98% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $120 | −$120 | -100% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $133 | −$130 | -98% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $135 | −$132 | -98% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $117 | −$114 | -98% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $66 | +$934 | +1413% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $69 | −$69 | -100% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $165 | −$164 | -100% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 12 | $688 | +$486 | +71% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 12 | $788 | −$54 | -7% |