trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 20 | -7.3% | -16.2% | 45% | 40% | -12.2% |
| ≤30d | 24 | -22.8% | -30.1% | 38% | 33% | -27.6% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -22.8% | -30.1% | 38% | 33% | -27.6% |
| all | 24 | -22.8% | -30.1% | 38% | 33% | -27.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -30.1% | 33% | -27.6% |
| 10% | -36.8% | 33% | -34.5% |
| 15% | -42.9% | 33% | -40.8% |
| 20% | -48.5% | 25% | -46.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $448 | $452 | +$4 (+1%) |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | No | 54¢ | 52¢ | $218 | $214 | −$4 (-2%) |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 24¢ | 18¢ | $60 | $46 | −$14 (-23%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $53 | −$52 | -98% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $275 | +$108 | +39% |
| Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $42 | −$41 | -98% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? A | Jun 17 | $260 | +$681 | +262% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $178 | +$102 | +57% |
| Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO? | Jun 15 | $360 | −$356 | -99% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca | Jun 15 | $252 | $0 | +0% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jun 15 | $183 | −$180 | -99% |
| Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO? | Jun 15 | $15 | +$23 | +149% |
| Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5 | Jun 15 | $71 | +$29 | +41% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jun 15 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card) | Jun 15 | $8 | −$8 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $50 | +$43 | +86% |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5 | Jun 14 | $89 | −$88 | -99% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 13 | $301 | −$267 | -89% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $54 | +$60 | +112% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $9 | +$18 | +206% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $14 | −$14 | -98% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04? | Jun 04 | $114 | −$113 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $128 | −$126 | -99% |
| Spread: Spurs (-2.5) | Jun 04 | $152 | −$150 | -99% |
| Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | Jun 03 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |