Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:36:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CD
0xcd94…6b1e
sports · 1311 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$17,824 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17,769 · open −$55
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$40
Realized−$17,769
Unrealized−$55
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses440 / 817
Whale WR (big bets)33%
Est. fees paid−$511
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1257 / 1311
History coverage185d
Avg bet$105
Trades / day12.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 2 History 1257 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$99
7 days+$339
14 days+$1,404
30 days+$881
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Team Liquid 50¢ 100¢ $20 $40 +$20 (+100%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Team Heretics Academy 65¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 BNK FearX Youth 37¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1 Ninjas in Pyjamas 59¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Boyacá Chicó FC vs. AD Cali: O/U 1.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Mexico 17¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
São Paulo FC vs. EC Juventude: O/U 4.5 Over 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner Deep Cross Gaming 55¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) BNK FearX Youth 26¢ 0¢ $1,276 $0 −$1,276 (-100%)
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winner MVK Esports 2¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 35¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-12-14? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University - Game 3 Winner Winthrop University 32¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner LNG Esports 48¢ 0¢ $329 $0 −$329 (-100%)
Spread: Paris FC (-1.5) Paris FC 11¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season Senshi Esports Club 62¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs Heroic 78¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 74¢ 0¢ $73 $0 −$73 (-100%)
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Citadel Gaming - Game 1 Winner Citadel Gaming 65¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5) Tigres de la UANL 19¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner Cloud9 75¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Spread: Samsunspor (-1.5) Samsunspor 12¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Spread: Casa Pia AC (-1.5) Casa Pia AC 21¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 13 $20 −$7 -36%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 13 $49 +$26 +53%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $37 −$36 -99%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $25 +$13 +52%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $30 +$28 +94%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $49 +$25 +52%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $44 +$15 +34%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$19 +60%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $51 −$50 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $39 +$160 +412%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $67 −$66 -99%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $83 +$45 +55%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $31 −$30 -98%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $116 +$86 +73%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $16 −$5 -34%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $38 +$8 +20%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $30 +$27 +91%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $24 +$22 +93%
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff Jun 12 $100 +$44 +44%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $71 −$70 -99%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $20 −$20 -98%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $20 −$20 -98%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $55 +$28 +51%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $19 +$19 +103%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $20 +$49 +249%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $49 +$17 +34%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $30 +$19 +64%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $30 +$29 +94%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $20 +$33 +162%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win Jun 11 $33 −$33 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 10 $21 +$19 +90%
England leading at halftime? Jun 10 $32 +$18 +54%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 5.5 Jun 10 $6 −$6 -97%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $50 +$44 +89%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $15 −$15 -98%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $115 +$2 +1%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $300 −$37 -12%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $51 −$37 -74%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 W Jun 10 $48 −$47 -99%
Spread: Angola (-2.5) Jun 09 $11 +$52 +473%
Spread: Togo (-2.5) Jun 09 $5 +$50 +980%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $30 +$28 +92%
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Spread: Belarus (-1.5) Jun 09 $10 −$10 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 81% −$14,577
other 16% −$2,819
crypto 3% −$308
world 0% −$74
economics 0% −$40
politics 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 50¢ $20 1h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? SELL Yes 16¢ $13 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 65¢ $76 2h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL LOS 99¢ $76 2h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY LOS 48¢ $10 3h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY LOS 70¢ $39 3h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 51¢ $37 3h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo BUY Karmine Corp Blue 11¢ $10 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 100¢ $38 3h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner SELL Team Heretics Academy 99¢ $57 4h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Heretics Academy 51¢ $30 4h
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner BUY Misa Esports 7¢ $2 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 65¢ $25 4h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics Academy 51¢ $51 5h
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY Misa Esports 27¢ $26 5h
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 1 Winner SELL Galions 100¢ $74 5h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $59 5h
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 1 Winner BUY Galions 65¢ $49 6h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Heretics Academy 55¢ $51 6h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 74¢ $44 6h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 24¢ $20 6h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 32¢ $31 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $50 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $31 9h
Spread: CD Coquimbo Unido (-2.5) BUY CD Coquimbo Unido 11¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $5 9h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 26¢ $51 10h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 100¢ $111 10h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 63¢ $67 11h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 79¢ $87 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-19.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 84 +25.3% +13.4% 55% 52% -0.5%
≤30d 292 -2.0% -11.4% 42% 41% +0.1%
≤90d 988 -10.5% -19.0% 37% 35% -17.4%
all 1257 -11.1% -19.5% 35% 34% -21.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.5% 34% -21.9%
10% -27.2% 32% -29.4%
15% -34.3% 30% -36.2%
20% -40.7% 26% -42.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $40.04 · official $40.04 (match) · 2352 history records