Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:01:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CD
0xcd87…9374
crypto · 109 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$50 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$50 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$50
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses39 / 70
Open positions0
Markets (closed)109 / 109
History coverage56d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day4.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 109 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$25
14 days−$25
30 days−$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$7 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$8 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$4 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$8 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 07 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 07 $1 +$1 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 07 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 07 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 07 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 07 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 07 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 07 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 07 $10 +$14 +136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 07 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 07 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 07 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 07 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 07 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 07 $5 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 07 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 07 $7 +$17 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 07 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 07 $7 +$8 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 07 $6 +$29 +460%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET May 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET May 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET May 13 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET May 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$60
other 0% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $13 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $4 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $6 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $7 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $4 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 46 -21.7% -29.2% 37% 35% -19.3%
≤30d 46 -21.7% -29.2% 37% 35% -19.3%
≤90d 109 -1.1% -10.5% 36% 34% -19.0%
all 109 -1.1% -10.5% 36% 34% -19.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.5% 34% -19.0%
10% -19.1% 33% -26.7%
15% -26.9% 31% -33.8%
20% -34.0% 27% -40.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 247 history records