trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.8% | -10.2% | 25% | 0% | -10.3% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 33% | 0% | -8.4% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -1.6% | -10.9% | 33% | 0% | -8.7% |
| all | 12 | -1.6% | -10.9% | 33% | 0% | -8.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.9% | 0% | -8.7% |
| 10% | -19.5% | 0% | -17.5% |
| 15% | -27.2% | 0% | -25.4% |
| 20% | -34.4% | 0% | -32.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | $384 | $386 | +$2 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | Jun 26 | $391 | −$13 | -3% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 25 | $386 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? | Jun 25 | $394 | $0 | +0% |
| Maduro guilty of all counts? | Jun 19 | $299 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Hong Kong SAR (-2.5) | Jun 10 | $489 | +$41 | +8% |
| Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30? | Jun 09 | $487 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026? | May 12 | $369 | −$7 | -2% |
| Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? | Apr 26 | $21 | −$6 | -29% |
| Spread: Mazatlán FC (-2.5) | Apr 15 | $347 | +$4 | +1% |
| Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by Apr | Apr 12 | $422 | −$1 | -0% |
| Spread: FC Porto (-2.5) | Apr 10 | $299 | +$22 | +7% |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? | Apr 09 | $307 | −$3 | -1% |