trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +2.0% | -7.8% | 25% | 0% | -7.2% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -20.5% | -28.0% | 20% | 0% | -10.9% |
| all | 12 | -25.4% | -32.5% | 17% | 0% | -12.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -32.5% | 0% | -12.1% |
| 10% | -39.0% | 0% | -20.5% |
| 15% | -44.9% | 0% | -28.2% |
| 20% | -50.3% | 0% | -35.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 95¢ | $427 | $424 | −$3 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026? | Jun 22 | $230 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | Jun 19 | $235 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Rosenborg BK (-1.5) | Jun 02 | $474 | +$40 | +8% |
| Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? | May 29 | $475 | −$3 | -1% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 09 | $468 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5) | May 07 | $39 | −$39 | -100% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026? | May 07 | $23 | −$2 | -8% |
| US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? | May 07 | $2 | $0 | -4% |
| Spread: Gwangju FC (-1.5) | Apr 22 | $27 | −$27 | -100% |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? | Apr 22 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Valorant: Team Evictix vs YFP Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage | Mar 24 | $27 | −$27 | -100% |
| LoL: Solary vs BIG (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs | Mar 24 | $4 | $0 | -0% |