Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:02:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CD
0xcd47…5ee7
crypto · 1532 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,714 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,713 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$298
Realized−$5,713
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1530 / 53
Whale WR (big bets)96%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1583 / 1532
History coverage9d
Avg bet$163
Trades / day223.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1583 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,948
7 days−$5,760
14 days−$5,713
30 days−$5,713
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum above 1,600 on June 13, 6AM ET? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $150 $149 −$1 (-0%)
Bitcoin above 61,800 on June 13, 6AM ET? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $150 $149 −$1 (-0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $108 $0 −$108 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $131 $0 −$131 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $174 $0 −$174 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $181 $0 −$181 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 76,800 on May 1, 10AM ET? No 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $260 $0 −$260 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $185 $0 −$185 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $305 $0 −$305 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $83 $0 −$83 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $253 $0 −$253 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $202 $0 −$202 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 78,800 on May 1, 10AM ET? Yes 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $175 $0 −$175 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $108 −$108 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $131 −$131 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $174 −$174 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $181 −$181 -100%
Bitcoin above 76,800 on May 1, 10AM ET? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $260 −$260 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $110 −$110 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $185 −$186 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $305 −$305 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $83 −$83 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $253 −$253 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $202 −$202 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $69 −$69 -100%
Bitcoin above 78,800 on May 1, 10AM ET? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $175 −$179 -102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $149 −$150 -101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $93 −$93 -100%
Ethereum above 2,265 on May 1, 11AM ET? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin above 80,800 on May 5, 5AM ET? Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $76 −$80 -106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $139 −$139 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $187 −$194 -104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $206 −$206 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$13 -105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $288 −$288 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $184 −$184 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $245 −$245 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $212 −$212 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $1,041 −$1,041 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 13? Jun 13 $288 −$288 -100%
Bitcoin above 81,400 on May 10, 12PM ET? Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$38 -201%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $81 −$81 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% +$263
finance 4% +$70
world 1% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin above 61,800 on June 13, 6AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $40 17m
Bitcoin above 61,800 on June 13, 6AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $110 17m
Ethereum above 1,600 on June 13, 6AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $150 19m
Bitcoin above 61,800 on June 13, 5AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin above 61,800 on June 13, 5AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $110 1h
Ethereum above 1,750 on June 13, 5AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $50 1h
Ethereum above 1,750 on June 13, 5AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin above 65,800 on June 13, 5AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $100 1h
Ethereum above 1,590 on June 13, 5AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $40 1h
Ethereum above 1,590 on June 13, 5AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $110 1h
Bitcoin above 65,800 on June 13, 5AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $50 1h
Ethereum above 1,590 on June 13, 4AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $40 2h
Ethereum above 1,590 on June 13, 4AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $110 2h
Bitcoin above 61,600 on June 13, 4AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $150 2h
Bitcoin above 65,600 on June 13, 4AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin above 65,600 on June 13, 4AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $100 2h
Ethereum above 1,750 on June 13, 4AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $150 2h
Ethereum above 1,590 on June 13, 3AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $150 3h
Bitcoin above 61,600 on June 13, 3AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $150 3h
Bitcoin above 65,600 on June 13, 3AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $50 3h
Ethereum above 1,750 on June 13, 3AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $150 3h
Bitcoin above 65,600 on June 13, 3AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $100 3h
Ethereum above 1,590 on June 13, 2AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $150 4h
Bitcoin above 61,600 on June 13, 2AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $150 4h
Ethereum above 1,750 on June 13, 2AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $150 4h
Bitcoin above 65,600 on June 13, 2AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $150 4h
Ethereum above 1,590 on June 13, 1AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $150 5h
Bitcoin above 65,600 on June 13, 1AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $150 5h
Ethereum above 1,750 on June 13, 1AM ET? BUY No 100¢ $150 5h
Ethereum above 1,590 on June 13, 12AM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $150 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1471 -3.5% -12.7% 96% 0% -11.8%
≤30d 1583 -3.2% -12.4% 97% 0% -11.5%
≤90d 1583 -3.2% -12.4% 97% 0% -11.5%
all 1583 -3.2% -12.4% 97% 0% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover223.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 0% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -20.8% 0% -20.0%
15% -28.4% 0% -27.7%
20% -35.5% 0% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $298.50 · official $298.50 (match) · 3500 history records