Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:09:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CD
0xcd3a…6069
crypto · 254 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$17 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses167 / 87
Open positions0
Markets (closed)254 / 254
History coverage13d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day46.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 254 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$19
7 days+$5
14 days−$17
30 days−$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$6 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$8 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$4 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$6 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$4 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$4 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$3 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +71%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$12
other 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $8 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $6 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $7 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $6 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $7 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $6 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $7 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $6 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $6 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $7 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $0 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $6 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $5 56m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 177 -3.9% -13.1% 69% 50% -9.0%
≤30d 254 -5.5% -14.5% 66% 50% -10.9%
≤90d 254 -5.5% -14.5% 66% 50% -10.9%
all 254 -5.5% -14.5% 66% 50% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.5% 50% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -22.7% 32% -19.4%
15% -30.1% 22% -27.2%
20% -37.0% 14% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 656 history records