Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:16:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
CD 0xcd37…0a37 crypto 616 markets active 3d ago coverage 25d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (92 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$27 (+1%) realized +$27 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate49%303W / 313L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day92.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$21
14 days−$39
30 days−$54
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$54
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (92 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 147 -5.3% -14.3% 44% 36% -13.8%
≤30d 616 +0.5% -9.1% 49% 43% -12.0%
≤90d 616 +0.5% -9.1% 49% 43% -12.0%
all 616 +0.5% -9.1% 49% 43% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover92.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 43% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 39% -20.4%
15% -25.7% 29% -28.1%
20% -33.0% 10% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
13% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.9 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.87 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

25d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$27
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses303 / 313
Open positions0
Markets (closed)616 / 616
History coverage25d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day92.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 616 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 13¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Up 8¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 13¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Up 8¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Up 10¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 14¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $2 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2425 history records