Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CD
0xcd37…e117
sports · 808 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$400 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$441 · open +$34
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$131
Realized−$441
Unrealized+$34
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses371 / 430
Est. fees paid−$368
Open positions4
Markets (closed)801 / 808
History coverage96d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day28.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 4 History 801 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$589
7 days−$1,326
14 days−$570
30 days+$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 42¢ 78¢ $28 $50 +$23 (+83%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 Over 4¢ 5¢ $39 $48 +$9 (+24%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Over 41¢ 44¢ $18 $20 +$2 (+9%)
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $12 $13 +$1 (+7%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Morocco (-2.5) Jun 13 $10 −$8 -79%
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) Jun 13 $12 −$6 -48%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals Jun 13 $6 +$13 +213%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 13 $14 −$6 -46%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $14 −$2 -12%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $9 +$4 +48%
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Jun 13 $14 −$8 -53%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5) Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5) Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $45 +$12 +26%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5) Jun 13 $39 −$3 -6%
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 13 $18 −$10 -58%
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) Jun 13 $16 −$8 -50%
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 13 $27 −$13 -49%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $58 −$56 -97%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 13 $13 −$13 -96%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $52 +$47 +89%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$2 -66%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) Jun 13 $37 −$1 -2%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $39 −$3 -7%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $6 −$2 -38%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 13 $11 +$9 +76%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 13 $21 −$21 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $6 −$5 -92%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) Jun 13 $5 +$5 +85%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $11 −$6 -54%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $57 +$42 +73%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $54 −$40 -74%
Spread: United States (-2.5) Jun 13 $44 +$84 +189%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $27 +$23 +82%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $9 +$1 +11%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $47 +$50 +106%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $152 −$103 -68%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 12 $127 −$127 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $21 +$14 +65%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $16 −$14 -82%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $13 +$39 +291%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $75 −$49 -66%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $24 −$11 -46%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $130 −$34 -26%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $30 −$2 -6%
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $48 +$11 +23%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 12 $71 −$71 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $57 −$40 -70%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $15 −$9 -62%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $14 −$13 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 79% −$243
other 11% +$29
crypto 10% −$102
world 1% −$58
politics 0% −$28
finance 0% +$2
weather 0% −$4
economics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Morocco (-2.5) SELL Morocco 0¢ $2 1m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 41¢ $19 13m
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) SELL Morocco 4¢ $1 17m
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals SELL Yes 99¢ $20 28m
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) BUY Morocco 18¢ $1 34m
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) BUY Morocco 18¢ $4 34m
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) BUY Morocco 18¢ $0 34m
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 11¢ $3 43m
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Brazil 25¢ $8 45m
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) SELL Morocco 5¢ $5 45m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 48¢ $5 45m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 39¢ $10 47m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 44¢ $9 54m
Spread: Morocco (-2.5) BUY Morocco 2¢ $7 54m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 52¢ $5 55m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 50¢ $5 57m
Spread: Morocco (-2.5) BUY Morocco 2¢ $3 57m
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) SELL Brazil 7¢ $7 58m
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 23¢ $4 58m
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) BUY Morocco 6¢ $6 59m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 52¢ $8 59m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $3 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 4¢ $28 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $9 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 4¢ $3 1h
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) BUY Brazil 14¢ $14 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 4¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 4¢ $4 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 4¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 34¢ $7 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 149 -20.3% -27.9% 30% 30% -25.9%
≤30d 431 +0.2% -9.3% 42% 41% -9.3%
≤90d 551 -5.4% -14.4% 39% 36% -12.1%
all 801 +1.3% -8.3% 46% 37% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.3% 37% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -17.1% 32% -19.7%
15% -25.1% 27% -27.4%
20% -32.5% 23% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $131.00 · official $131.00 (match) · 3500 history records