Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:01:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CD
0xcd2e…147f
crypto · 13 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses7 / 5
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)12 / 13
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day19.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 12 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 19¢ 19¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$10 +194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$2
sports 7% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -5.0% -14.0% 58% 50% -12.3%
≤30d 12 -5.0% -14.0% 58% 50% -12.3%
≤90d 12 -5.0% -14.0% 58% 50% -12.3%
all 12 -5.0% -14.0% 58% 50% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.0% 50% -12.3%
10% -22.3% 50% -20.7%
15% -29.8% 33% -28.3%
20% -36.7% 25% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.99 · official $4.99 (match) · 26 history records