Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:35:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CD
0xcd23…ca63
crypto · 71 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$3 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses68 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)71 / 71
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day109.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 71 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 26m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 +1.4% -8.3% 96% 8% -8.2%
≤30d 71 +1.4% -8.3% 96% 8% -8.2%
≤90d 71 +1.4% -8.3% 96% 8% -8.2%
all 71 +1.4% -8.3% 96% 8% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover109.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.3% 8% -8.2%
10% ← realistic here -17.0% 0% -17.0%
15% -25.1% 0% -25.0%
20% -32.4% 0% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 177 history records