Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:53:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CD
0xcd22…11ff
crypto · 125 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$9,301 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9,301 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$9,301
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses62 / 63
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)125 / 125
History coverage3d
Avg bet$393
Trades / day99.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 125 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9,112
7 days−$9,301
14 days−$9,301
30 days−$9,301
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $700 $0 −$700 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $700 $0 −$700 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1,101 $0 −$1,101 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $135 $0 −$135 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $666 $0 −$666 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $191 $0 −$191 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $695 $0 −$695 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1,400 $0 −$1,400 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $201 $0 −$201 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $700 $0 −$700 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1,061 $0 −$1,061 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $1,123 −$1,101 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $833 −$800 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1,214 +$740 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $512 −$310 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $404 +$61 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $478 −$463 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $1,434 −$1,400 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $749 −$749 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $617 +$401 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $652 +$627 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1,078 −$1,061 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $204 −$201 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $497 +$1,443 +290%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $726 −$700 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $1,296 −$1,231 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $2,236 −$2,200 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $1,722 +$348 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $749 −$700 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $1,014 −$1,014 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1,047 +$1,910 +182%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $2,135 +$899 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $517 −$426 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $1,019 +$335 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $663 +$40 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $1,654 +$539 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $1,017 +$354 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $514 +$301 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $734 −$695 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $22 −$21 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $19 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $17 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$12 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $699 −$666 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $605 −$228 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $741 −$700 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $1,425 −$1,400 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $501 +$19 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $1,411 +$157 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $131 −$131 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $288 −$288 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $308 −$308 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $349 −$349 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $208 −$208 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $227 −$227 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4AM ET Jun 11 $213 −$213 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $576 −$576 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $1,062 −$1,062 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET Jun 11 $1,319 −$1,319 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$9,301
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $58 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $519 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $18 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $15 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $94 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $14 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $8 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $8 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $9 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $18 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $37 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $8 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $9 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $15 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $24 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $18 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $13 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $7 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $18 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $27 46m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-21.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 125 -13.6% -21.9% 50% 43% -26.8%
≤30d 125 -13.6% -21.9% 50% 43% -26.8%
≤90d 125 -13.6% -21.9% 50% 43% -26.8%
all 125 -13.6% -21.9% 50% 43% -26.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover99.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.9% 43% -26.8%
10% ← realistic here -29.3% 34% -33.8%
15% -36.2% 30% -40.2%
20% -42.4% 24% -46.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 358 history records