trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | +1.1% | -8.5% | 28% | 28% | -47.4% |
| ≤30d | 18 | +1.1% | -8.5% | 28% | 28% | -47.4% |
| ≤90d | 18 | +1.1% | -8.5% | 28% | 28% | -47.4% |
| all | 18 | +1.1% | -8.5% | 28% | 28% | -47.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.5% | 28% | -47.4% |
| 10% | -17.3% | 28% | -52.5% |
| 15% | -25.3% | 28% | -57.1% |
| 20% | -32.6% | 28% | -61.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-19%) |
| Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score in First Half | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $61 | $0 | −$61 (-100%) |
| Ghana vs. Panama: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Over | 29¢ | 0¢ | $55 | $0 | −$55 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | Jun 17 | $37 | −$35 | -96% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $221 | −$216 | -98% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $101 | −$99 | -98% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $99 | −$97 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Algeria? | Jun 17 | $24 | −$23 | -97% |
| Mehdi Taremi: 1+ goals | Jun 15 | $299 | −$293 | -98% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $123 | −$96 | -78% |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $33 | −$32 | -98% |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $57 | +$176 | +307% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $139 | −$136 | -98% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 14 | $79 | +$105 | +133% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $367 | −$359 | -98% |
| Spread: Scotland (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $307 | −$301 | -98% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $146 | +$160 | +109% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | Jun 13 | $11 | −$10 | -95% |
| Spread: United States (-2.5) | Jun 13 | $5 | +$31 | +612% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $204 | +$322 | +158% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $101 | −$99 | -98% |