Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:45:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CD
0xcd07…1710
other · 3 markets active 1h ago
6.0score
+$21 +22%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$21 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$74
Realized+$21
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1 / 0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$32
Trades / day5.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 2 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$21
7 days+$21
14 days+$21
30 days+$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $55 $55 −$0 (-0%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $20 +$21 +105%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $35 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $20 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $42 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $20 19h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $20 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+85.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +104.9% +85.4% 100% 100% +85.4%
≤30d 1 +104.9% +85.4% 100% 100% +85.4%
≤90d 1 +104.9% +85.4% 100% 100% +85.4%
all 1 +104.9% +85.4% 100% 100% +85.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +85.4% 100% +85.4%
10% +67.6% 100% +67.6%
15% +51.4% 100% +51.4%
20% +36.6% 100% +36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $74.36 · official $74.36 (match) · 5 history records