Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:40:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CD
0xcd05…f511
crypto · 624 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$22 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$22 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$22
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses415 / 209
Open positions0
Markets (closed)624 / 624
History coverage28d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day43.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 624 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$15
14 days−$30
30 days−$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 09 $3 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$2 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$2 -65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$4 +133%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$2 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -64%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +69%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$16
other 2% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $1 26h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $4 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 126 -10.6% -19.1% 52% 49% -17.3%
≤30d 624 -3.7% -12.9% 67% 51% -11.2%
≤90d 624 -3.7% -12.9% 67% 51% -11.2%
all 624 -3.7% -12.9% 67% 51% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover43.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.9% 51% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -21.2% 35% -19.7%
15% -28.9% 27% -27.5%
20% -35.8% 16% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1463 history records