trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 24 | -12.0% | -20.4% | 54% | 54% | +1.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.4% | 54% | +1.4% |
| 10% | -28.0% | 50% | -8.3% |
| 15% | -35.0% | 42% | -17.2% |
| 20% | -41.3% | 25% | -25.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | No | 55¢ | 58¢ | $300 | $319 | +$19 (+6%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 13¢ | $232 | $260 | +$28 (+12%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $190 | $189 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $141 | $140 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $121 | $121 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Government shutdown end by November 15? | Nov 06 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31? | Oct 28 | $29 | −$29 | -100% |
| XRP Up or Down - October 18, 6PM ET | Oct 19 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City vs. Napoli end in a draw? | Oct 19 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| XRP Up or Down - October 18, 8PM ET | Oct 19 | $1 | +$1 | +56% |
| XRP Up or Down - October 18, 5PM ET | Oct 18 | $50 | +$24 | +47% |
| Israel strikes Gaza by October 17? | Oct 18 | $6 | +$4 | +79% |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open? | Oct 16 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31? | Oct 16 | $400 | +$112 | +28% |
| Will XRP dip to $2.50 in October? | Oct 11 | $293 | −$293 | -100% |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31? | Oct 09 | $168 | +$228 | +136% |
| Will XRP dip to $2.60 in September? | Oct 01 | $728 | +$324 | +44% |
| Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-14? | Sep 14 | $42 | +$33 | +78% |
| Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-13? | Sep 14 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Israel strike on Yemen by September 15? | Sep 10 | $600 | +$94 | +16% |
| Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2025 US Open? | Sep 06 | $100 | +$58 | +58% |
| US Open Final: Sinner vs. Alcaraz? | Sep 06 | $421 | +$200 | +47% |
| Will XRP dip to $2.70 in August? | Sep 01 | $1,356 | +$420 | +31% |
| Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2 | Aug 23 | $249 | −$249 | -100% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | Aug 23 | $144 | −$144 | -100% |
| Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | Aug 23 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July? | Jun 23 | $5 | +$2 | +44% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | Jun 22 | $154 | −$10 | -6% |
| XRP above $2.10 on June 20? | Jun 20 | $100 | +$54 | +54% |