Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T23:35:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.5
score
CC 0xccfd…f0e6 crypto 1820 markets active 10d ago coverage 29d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (66 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$123 (-1%) realized −$123 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR54%break-even
Win rate55%868W / 720L
Whale WR80%big bets
Drawdown30%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day65.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days+$1,423
30 days+$1,803
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,754
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (66 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-4.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 799 +19.3% +7.9% 61% 60% +5.5%
≤90d 1588 +6.0% -4.1% 55% 54% +4.0%
all 1588 +6.0% -4.1% 55% 54% +4.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover65.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.1% 54% +4.0%
10% ← realistic here -13.3% 53% -5.9%
15% -21.6% 53% -15.0%
20% -29.3% 52% -23.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +15% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +6% · $-wt +15% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 80% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -7% → late +19% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$5 · ×1.27 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.53 per $1 lost it wins $1.53
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

29d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$123
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses868 / 720
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1588 / 1820
History coverage29d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day65.7
Drawdown30%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1588 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$13 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$4 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $16 +$13 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$6 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$4 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$6 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $13 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $263 +$210 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 11 $132 −$127 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $32 −$31 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 11 $14 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$6 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$6 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$6 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$6 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 11 $32 +$34 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $14 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $16 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $7 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $16 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $7 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $7 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $3 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $7 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $11 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $10 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Down 10¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $4 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2761 history records