Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:12:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CC
0xccf7…836a
crypto · 826 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4,987 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,862 · open −$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$5,862
Unrealized−$14
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses411 / 414
Whale WR (big bets)59%
Est. fees paid−$49
Open positions1
Markets (closed)825 / 826
History coverage246d
Avg bet$87
Trades / day9.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 825 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,645
7 days−$1,530
14 days−$1,374
30 days−$1,465
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-98%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$7 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $30 −$28 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -95%
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Jun 14 $5 +$13 +259%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET Jun 14 $22 +$29 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6AM ET Jun 14 $452 −$421 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$8 -66%
Lakers vs. Thunder Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $99 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $34 −$27 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6PM ET Jun 14 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $42 −$26 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$9 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros Jun 14 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7PM ET Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8PM ET Jun 14 $71 −$71 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 64% −$4,114
sports 36% −$1,670
economics 0% −$60
other 0% −$15
world 0% −$6
finance 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $7 2h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? SELL Yes 6¢ $13 2h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? SELL Yes 7¢ $6 2h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 3h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $14 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $19 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-23.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 86 -43.1% -48.5% 33% 27% -41.2%
≤30d 157 -11.5% -19.9% 53% 45% -29.6%
≤90d 430 -16.2% -24.2% 50% 42% -24.8%
all 825 -15.2% -23.2% 50% 43% -16.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.2% 43% -16.9%
10% -30.6% 33% -24.8%
15% -37.3% 24% -32.1%
20% -43.4% 18% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.35 · official $0.35 (match) · 2684 history records