Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:11:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CC
0xccf1…25a0
sports · 1371 markets active 0h ago
3.5score
+$7,220 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7,841 · open −$621
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13,681
Realized+$7,841
Unrealized−$621
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses728 / 603
Whale WR (big bets)49%
Est. fees paid−$3,756
Open positions40
Markets (closed)1331 / 1371
History coverage93d
Avg bet$420
Trades / day23.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 40 History 1331 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$55
7 days+$19,726
14 days+$22,873
30 days+$243
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 100¢ 100¢ $542 $542 +$0 (+0%)
Will Daniel Berger finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday? No 100¢ 100¢ $362 $363 +$1 (+0%)
Will Brian Harman finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday? No 100¢ 100¢ $355 $356 +$1 (+0%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5 Over 29¢ 100¢ $100 $345 +$245 (+245%)
Will Matt McCarty finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday? No 100¢ 100¢ $336 $337 +$2 (+0%)
Will Min Woo Lee finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday? No 100¢ 100¢ $332 $333 +$1 (+0%)
Will Jason Day finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday? No 100¢ 100¢ $332 $333 +$1 (+0%)
Will Jason Day finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday? No 99¢ 100¢ $306 $308 +$2 (+1%)
Will Rickie Fowler finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday? No 100¢ 100¢ $301 $302 +$1 (+0%)
Will Nicolai Hojgaard finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday? No 99¢ 100¢ $262 $264 +$2 (+1%)
Will Denny McCarthy finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 100¢ 99¢ $264 $263 −$1 (-0%)
Will Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 100¢ 97¢ $258 $252 −$6 (-2%)
Will Beau Hossler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 100¢ 95¢ $259 $248 −$11 (-4%)
Will Vince Whaley finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 100¢ 99¢ $247 $246 −$1 (-0%)
Will Robert MacIntyre finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 74¢ 66¢ $278 $245 −$32 (-12%)
Will Matthieu Pavon finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 100¢ 85¢ $268 $230 −$38 (-14%)
Will Mark Hubbard finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday? No 99¢ 100¢ $221 $223 +$2 (+1%)
Will Robert MacIntyre finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday? No 99¢ 100¢ $219 $221 +$2 (+1%)
Will Lanto Griffin finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 99¢ 92¢ $234 $216 −$18 (-8%)
Will Sam Ryder finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 100¢ 84¢ $252 $213 −$39 (-15%)
Will Brian Harman finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday? No 99¢ 100¢ $210 $212 +$2 (+1%)
Will Adam Svensson finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 100¢ 89¢ $236 $211 −$25 (-11%)
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 87¢ 86¢ $210 $208 −$1 (-1%)
Will Jason Day finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday? No 99¢ 100¢ $203 $205 +$2 (+1%)
Will Jordan Spieth finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday? No 99¢ 100¢ $203 $205 +$2 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will David Lipsky finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $49 $0 +1%
Will Daniel Brown finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $49 $0 +1%
Will Matt Wallace finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $49 $0 +1%
Will Danny Willett finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $96 +$11 +11%
Will Jhonattan Vegas finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Ope Jun 13 $125 +$4 +4%
Will Chris Kirk finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $143 +$1 +1%
Will Chris Kirk finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $196 +$2 +1%
Will Garrick Higgo finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $49 $0 +1%
Will Tom Hoge finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $49 $0 +1%
Will Seamus Power finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Will Aaron Rai finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $26 +$12 +46%
Will Seamus Power finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $81 $0 +1%
Will Pontus Nyholm win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will Rico Hoey finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $79 +$1 +1%
Will Pontus Nyholm finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $637 +$3 +0%
Will Zach Bauchou finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $76 +$1 +2%
Will Hayden Springer finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open Jun 13 $141 +$1 +1%
Will Eric Cole finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $91 +$22 +25%
Will Corey Conners finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $202 +$1 +0%
Will Pontus Nyholm finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $200 +$1 +0%
Will Pontus Nyholm finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $460 +$3 +1%
Will Karl Vilips finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $49 $0 +1%
Will Hayden Springer finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Ope Jun 13 $483 +$6 +1%
Will Hayden Springer finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Ope Jun 13 $250 +$2 +1%
Will Max Greyserman finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open Jun 13 $49 $0 +1%
Will Joel Dahmen finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $989 +$3 +0%
Will Joel Dahmen finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $523 +$21 +4%
Will Trace Crowe finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $145 +$4 +3%
Will Adrien Dumont De Chassart finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Can Jun 13 $131 +$2 +1%
Will Adrien Dumont De Chassart finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Ca Jun 13 $126 +$1 +0%
Will Austin Smotherman finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian O Jun 13 $249 +$2 +1%
Will Lee Hodges finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $197 +$2 +1%
Will Lee Hodges finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $397 +$5 +1%
Will Andrew Putnam finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $2,412 +$327 +14%
Will Andrew Putnam finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $209 +$10 +5%
Will Lee Hodges finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $212 +$1 +1%
Will Mackenzie Hughes finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Op Jun 13 $49 $0 +1%
Will Andrew Putnam finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $1,136 +$3 +0%
Will Michael Brennan finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Ope Jun 13 $39 +$6 +14%
Will Mac Meissner finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $49 $0 +1%
Will Michael Brennan finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Ope Jun 13 $49 $0 +1%
Will John Parry finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Will Alexander Noren finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Ope Jun 13 $35 $0 +1%
Will Justin Rose finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $87 +$22 +26%
Will Alexander Noren finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Ope Jun 13 $451 +$49 +11%
Will John Vanderlaan finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Ope Jun 13 $59 $0 +0%
Will Lucas Glover finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $227 +$3 +1%
Will John Vanderlaan finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Ope Jun 13 $1,904 +$6 +0%
Will Steven Fisk finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $31 $0 +2%
Will Lucas Glover finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $49 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% +$6,978
other 8% +$271
world 0% −$30
politics 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Adam Hadwin finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 98¢ $37 1m
Will Nick Taylor finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 100¢ $47 1m
Will Keita Nakajima finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open BUY No 100¢ $40 6m
Will Erik Van Rooyen finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open BUY No 100¢ $26 6m
Will Adam Svensson finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 99¢ $78 6m
Will Keita Nakajima finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open BUY No 99¢ $27 9m
Will Denny McCarthy finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open BUY No 98¢ $56 12m
Will Denny McCarthy finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open BUY No 98¢ $32 12m
Will Keita Nakajima finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open BUY No 100¢ $73 25m
Will Sam Ryder finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 100¢ $41 26m
Will Sam Ryder finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 100¢ $52 26m
Will Sam Ryder finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 100¢ $78 26m
Will Sam Ryder finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 100¢ $55 26m
Will Sam Ryder finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 100¢ $25 26m
Will Keita Nakajima finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open BUY No 100¢ $69 28m
Will Adam Svensson finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 99¢ $33 29m
Will Denny McCarthy finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open BUY No 99¢ $18 34m
Will Denny McCarthy finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open BUY No 99¢ $28 34m
Will A.J. Ewart finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 100¢ $50 35m
Will A.J. Ewart finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 100¢ $57 36m
Will A.J. Ewart finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 100¢ $63 37m
Will A.J. Ewart finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 100¢ $33 37m
Will Vince Whaley finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 100¢ $32 38m
Will Denny McCarthy finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open BUY No 99¢ $30 44m
Will Beau Hossler finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 100¢ $28 44m
Will Beau Hossler finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 100¢ $25 46m
Will Vince Whaley finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 100¢ $48 53m
Will Vince Whaley finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 100¢ $80 53m
Will Beau Hossler finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 100¢ $29 1h
Will Beau Hossler finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 100¢ $29 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 211 +14.8% +3.8% 91% 21% +24.1%
≤30d 374 +2.9% -6.9% 76% 22% -9.3%
≤90d 1250 -0.0% -9.5% 54% 38% -11.1%
all 1331 +0.4% -9.1% 55% 39% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 39% -8.5%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 38% -17.3%
15% -25.8% 36% -25.2%
20% -33.0% 33% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13,680.58 · official $13,680.59 (match) · 3500 history records