Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:50:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CC
0xccec…1dfc
sports · 677 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
−$26,963 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$27,414 · open +$223
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,452
Realized−$27,414
Unrealized+$223
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses302 / 359
Whale WR (big bets)51%
Est. fees paid−$919
Open positions16
Markets (closed)661 / 677
History coverage606d
Avg bet$635
Trades / day3.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 16 History 661 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$123
7 days+$1,702
14 days+$1,702
30 days+$1,950
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 53¢ 46¢ $643 $558 −$85 (-13%)
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner HOTU 48¢ 100¢ $227 $473 +$246 (+108%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Monte 58¢ 100¢ $190 $327 +$137 (+72%)
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $15 +$5 (+50%)
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $16 $8 −$8 (-50%)
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $16 $8 −$8 (-50%)
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $16 $8 −$8 (-50%)
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $16 $8 −$8 (-50%)
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $16 $8 −$8 (-50%)
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $16 $8 −$8 (-50%)
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $16 $8 −$8 (-50%)
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $16 $8 −$8 (-50%)
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $16 $8 −$8 (-50%)
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $6 $3 −$3 (-50%)
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $6 $3 −$3 (-50%)
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $6 $3 −$3 (-50%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 58¢ 0¢ $316 $0 −$316 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A MASQ 46¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ALGO Esports - Map 1 Winner ALGO Esports 18¢ 0¢ $169 $0 −$169 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 20¢ 0¢ $239 $0 −$239 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Tricked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs Walczaki 63¢ 0¢ $93 $0 −$93 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 3 Winner Weibo Gaming 36¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) HANJIN BRION 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner Team Spirit 9¢ 0¢ $93 $0 −$93 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Xtreme Gaming 47¢ 0¢ $306 $0 −$306 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $54 −$1 -1%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $191 +$84 +44%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 13 $629 +$301 +48%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 13 $152 +$140 +92%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $187 +$261 +140%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $192 −$188 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $650 −$644 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $685 +$170 +25%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $247 +$293 +119%
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Play Jun 11 $62 +$128 +206%
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gr Jun 11 $391 +$411 +105%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2,700 +$782 +29%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $244 −$239 -98%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 10 $156 +$101 +65%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Jun 10 $450 +$189 +42%
Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (+1.5) Jun 10 $41 +$18 +44%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 10 $271 −$194 -72%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 10 $189 +$183 +97%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $394 +$243 +62%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 10 $71 −$70 -98%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 10 $751 −$97 -13%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se Jun 10 $168 +$184 +109%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 10 $129 +$120 +93%
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - United21 Playof Jun 10 $114 −$23 -20%
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs UNiTY esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $65 +$87 +133%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs RUSTEC (BO3) - European Pro L Jun 10 $26 +$145 +567%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $222 −$218 -98%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 10 $38 −$37 -99%
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro Lea Jun 09 $422 −$415 -98%
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Banger Gang - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $13 −$13 -97%
LoL: Estral Esports vs paiN Gaming Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante May 27 $169 +$281 +166%
LoL: Ozarox Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 1 Winner May 26 $141 +$444 +314%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Lilmix - Map 2 Winner May 25 $429 +$410 +96%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Lilmix - Map 1 Winner May 25 $409 −$408 -100%
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Tricksters - Map 2 Winner May 25 $41 −$41 -100%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winner May 25 $175 +$164 +93%
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Kinoa (BO3) - United21 Playoffs May 24 $841 +$993 +118%
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Kinoa - Map 1 Winner May 24 $16 +$20 +124%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships P May 24 $236 −$236 -100%
Map Handicap: ASTR (-1.5) vs MASONIC (+1.5) May 24 $375 +$528 +141%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ALGO Esports - Map 1 Winner May 23 $173 −$169 -98%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Sashi Esport - Map 1 Winner May 23 $337 +$450 +133%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 23 $644 −$636 -99%
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Gro May 23 $110 +$214 +195%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner May 23 $949 −$944 -100%
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winn May 22 $75 −$73 -98%
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA May 22 $466 +$430 +92%
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs SAW - Map 2 Winner May 22 $293 +$212 +72%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 May 22 $120 −$118 -98%
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner May 22 $365 +$384 +105%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$24,665
other 1% −$2,416
politics 0% −$110
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner BUY HOTU 48¢ $231 56m
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 53¢ $652 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 58¢ $13 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 53¢ $54 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 52¢ $54 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 58¢ $179 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 69¢ $191 19h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY RUSTEC 52¢ $19 24h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY RUSTEC 52¢ $2 24h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY RUSTEC 52¢ $33 24h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY RUSTEC 52¢ $37 24h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY RUSTEC 52¢ $61 24h
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 67¢ $629 25h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 41¢ $187 25h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 41¢ $192 25h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 70¢ $650 27h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 84¢ $287 2d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 77¢ $32 2d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 77¢ $35 2d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 77¢ $3 2d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 77¢ $8 2d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 77¢ $4 2d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 77¢ $33 2d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 77¢ $12 2d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 77¢ $16 2d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 77¢ $254 2d
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gr BUY Bebop 48¢ $2 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 45¢ $247 2d
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gr BUY Bebop 48¢ $389 2d
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Play BUY ex-MANA eSports 33¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-16.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 +36.3% +23.3% 60% 60% +6.2%
≤30d 77 +14.5% +3.6% 53% 52% -2.6%
≤90d 269 -6.5% -15.4% 46% 41% -11.0%
all 661 -7.6% -16.4% 46% 38% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.4% 38% -15.3%
10% -24.4% 34% -23.4%
15% -31.7% 30% -30.8%
20% -38.4% 27% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,452.14 · official $1,452.14 (match) · 2945 history records